Former President Donald Trump’s standing amongst Muslim-American voters has notably improved from 4 years in the past, in response to a brand new ballot.
Trump, 78, would have the assist of 30% of Muslim voters if the 2024 election had been held at the moment, in contrast with the 23% he earned in opposition to Joe Biden 4 years in the past, in response to a survey by the Rainey Middle, a self-described “submit partisan” public coverage analysis nonprofit.
Vice President Kamala Harris would obtain 62% of the Muslim vote, in response to the survey, which drew from a pattern that was 49% registered Democrats, 28% registered independents and 18% registered Republicans.
Three-fifths of these polled (60%) mentioned they broke for Biden in 2020.
A hypothetical six-way race reveals Harris shedding assist in comparison with Biden 4 years in the past, with 56% of Muslims voting for her, 25% voting for Trump, 3% voting for Inexperienced Get together candidate Jill Stein and 1% voting for unbiased candidate Cornel West.
Earlier than Biden exited the race on July 21, the incumbent was shedding to Trump amongst Center Japanese, North African and Muslim voters, in response to a Siena Faculty/New York Occasions ballot from Might.
Harris and Stein had been tied at 29% assist in one other survey of Muslims launched by the Council on American-Islamic Relations final week, whereas 11% backed Trump, 4% most popular West, and 1% favored Libertarian Chase Oliver.
Unbiased candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. received 5% of the Muslim vote, although he suspended his marketing campaign and endorsed Trump on the primary day that the Rainey survey was within the discipline.
The previous Democrat has sued to get off the poll in essential swing states as a way to assist Trump, whereas Stein has already secured her place on the poll in six of the seven essential battlegrounds: Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Michigan, Wisconsin, Arizona and Nevada.
West is at present solely on the poll in Wisconsin and North Carolina.
The Muslim voters surveyed had been most involved in regards to the financial system and crime when contemplating their high election concern.
Majorities had been additionally “extraordinarily” or “very” involved about “rising transgender medical therapies for minors” (51%), “the rise of the far-right ‘MAGA’ ideology” (51%), the “erosion of parental rights in American public training” (53%) and the “educating of sexually express supplies to kids in public faculties” (61%).
Nonetheless, on each single concern polled, both a majority or a plurality mentioned that the Democratic Get together expressed their view of issues extra carefully than the Republican Get together.
That included opinions on international coverage, with 65% saying they had been “extraordinarily” or “very” involved in regards to the battle between Israel and Hamas.
Greater than 4 in 5 (82%) mentioned they’re “positively” or “in all probability” voting Nov. 5, 15% mentioned they’re on the fence and three% mentioned they “in all probability” received’t present as much as the polls.
Half of the respondents (50%) additionally recognized as cultural Muslims fairly than observant Muslims, and a plurality (44%) described their political opinions as average.
The Rainey Middle ballot surveyed 600 self-identified Muslim respondents through internet panels Aug. 23-29. The margin of error is plus-or-minus 4.8%.
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