New polling of the Outdated Dominion State presents a good-news-bad-news situation for Donald Trump.
The excellent news?
His 2024 Democratic opponent is underperforming Joe Biden in 2020.
Vice President Kamala Harris’ 8-point lead (50% to 42%) is placing her on monitor to complete worse in Virginia than her boss, who obtained 54% assist 4 years in the past, per The Washington Put up-Schar Faculty ballot of 1,005 possible voters performed between Sept. 4 and eight.
The unhealthy information, in fact, is that is the fifth straight Virginia ballot to indicate Harris with a lead between 7% and 10%, a reversal from July surveys exhibiting a toss-up race with Biden and August polls giving Harris a slim lead.
“Most notable not solely is the dimensions of Harris’s lead however that Trump doesn’t have any challenge benefit, not like nationwide polls by which he enjoys some benefit on the financial system, immigration and preventing crime,” Mark Rozell, dean of the Schar Faculty, informed WaPo.
Determined benefits for Trump in lots of swing states merely aren’t in play for him right here.
The previous president, for instance, is beneath 50% with males, who again him strongly elsewhere on the map. His slender 48% to 43% lead is swamped by Harris’ robust 55% to 37% edge with ladies.
As in most states, Harris advantages from concentrations of inhabitants, and that’s notably true in Northern Virginia’s DC suburbs, the place a lot of the workforce is monied and depending on a powerful federal authorities. She’s up 60% to 31% within the areas abutting the nation’s capital and 56% to 37% in NoVa’s exurbs, together with having double-digit leads in Richmond and Tidewater.
Trump does greatest in rural areas, with a 60% to 30% lead in central and western Virginia. However the focus of voters simply isn’t there for him.
Harris additionally appears to be inspiring extra celebration loyalty than the previous president. She’s at 96% with Democrats, whereas Trump’s solely pulling 88% of Republicans.
The veep can also be interesting to voters exterior what Trump and allies name her “dangerously liberal” ideology. She’s backed by 60% of self-styled moderates and 19% of those that say they’re conservative.
Harris can also be forward amongst all ages group, along with her strongest lead being a 56% to 39% benefit amongst 40-somethings.
Trump is at 50% with those that solely went to highschool and 49% amongst those that didn’t get faculty levels, however he solely has 33% assist amongst faculty grads, which is a staggering 27 factors behind Harris.
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