I visited a small, struggling, climate-ravaged city in Louisiana. Why is Donald Trump sure to win right here? | Oliver Laughland

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I visited a small, struggling, climate-ravaged city in Louisiana. Why is Donald Trump sure to win right here? | Oliver Laughland

A number of hundred yards from the shoreline – the place the Gulf of Mexico meets the small city of Cameron in south-west Louisiana – my toes are crunching over four-year-old detritus.

I’m standing among the many battered pews of a Baptist church, on shards of glass and wooden which might be strewn throughout the ground, gazing at its partly collapsed roof. The relics of the back-to-back hurricanes that pummelled this neighborhood in 2020 are nonetheless scattered right here and all through a lot of Cameron. Residents have lengthy referred to this distant a part of the US as “the tip of the world” – however the adage feels extra prescient now than ever. The inhabitants has dwindled from practically 2,000 to a couple hundred because the storms; empty foundations mark the places of many houses that had been swept away in tidal surges; and a gargantuan fuel export terminal looms on the horizon.

Why hurricane survivors in Louisiana nonetheless imagine in Donald Trump – video

Down the road, I meet Lerlene Rodrigue, who comes out to seek out me after listening to my footsteps. She resides in a trailer subsequent to her partly destroyed household dwelling, which remains to be being rebuilt, and factors within the course of a close-by graveyard. She tells me how the storm surge from Hurricane Laura introduced her father’s buried coffin “floating up”. It was lacking for years and was rediscovered solely months in the past; it’s now, lastly, “again within the floor”.

“We got here again,” she says of Laura’s aftermath. “However if it occurs once more, I’m not. I’m executed.”

The humid swamplands and coastal communities of Louisiana’s third congressional district is not going to determine the end result of this election. However they’ve extra at stake than most locations within the nation: sitting on the frontlines of frequent and excessive climate occasions; more and more polluted by oil and fuel trade proliferation; and at risk of decimation by alarming sea-level rise. But you’re prone to hear little about life in these components within the wider dialog as voting day quickly approaches – so sure is Donald Trump to win right here and so absent, over many years, is the Democratic occasion.

The scene in Cameron in October 2020 after Hurricane Delta, which hit solely six weeks after Hurricane Laura. {Photograph}: Bloomberg/Getty Pictures

But it surely was in 2016, after Trump’s surprising nationwide victory, that the US’s coastal elites turned to writing about this area to clarify what had occurred. In Strangers in Their Personal Land, the sociologist Arlie Russell Hochschild explores the recognition of the Tea Get together motion on this space of the state, giving rise to the phrase “the nice paradox”. In Hochschild’s view, this notion surmises how voters most in want of federal authorities help and regulation – as these in climate-ravaged Louisiana are – can help a Republican occasion hell-bent on dismantling such authorities oversight altogether.

Rodrigue tells me she accepts local weather science (Trump calls it a hoax), and is against the blight and air pollution of extra fuel terminal building (a certainty if Trump wins subsequent month). But she’s going to nonetheless vote for him, remembering how the previous president imposed seafood tariffs on China, which she says had been very important to preserving the dwindling neighborhood of shrimpers that she and her household have been a part of for generations.


Farther inland, I make a go to to the Republican Ladies of Southwest Louisiana at an opulent nation membership, on the banks of a lake surrounded by chemical crops that belch pollution into the sky. Hochschild, who additionally hung out with this group, discovered an intricate lattice of explanations for her nice paradox, together with demographic modifications, an imbalanced financial system, spiritual dogma and race-based resentment. A lot of that is on show right here right this moment – and appears even additional entrenched.

Most of the girls current have additionally sacrificed a terrific deal to excessive climate. I ask one attender, who misplaced her dwelling throughout Laura, whether or not she views herself as a sufferer of the local weather disaster. She shakes her head. “I imagine almighty God has a say-so of what the local weather is gonna be,” she says.

Tim Temple, Louisiana’s insurance coverage commissioner, blames the state’s protection disaster on over-regulation, not the local weather emergency. {Photograph}: Tom Silverstone/The Guardian

The keynote speech is being delivered by Louisiana’s Republican insurance coverage commissioner, Tim Temple, because the state endures a protection disaster tied to frequent main hurricanes. Many individuals right here complain about their charges doubling throughout the previous 12 months. However Temple offers an unremarkable oration and doesn’t point out the local weather disaster as soon as. As a substitute, he blames all of it on over-regulation. In an interview with me afterwards, he repeatedly refuses to acknowledge local weather science.

It’s a reminder of the catastrophic failures of conservative leaders on this state, a few of whom, akin to the hard-right governor, Jeff Landry, have mirrored Trump’s language on local weather hoaxes. It additionally warns of the grim actuality a second Trump time period would convey, given his shameless promotion of falsehoods and conspiracy theories within the aftermath of Hurricane Helene this month, that are prone to have penalties for these voting for him simply as a lot as anybody else.

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There may be, maybe, much less manufactured from the failures of the Democrats in Louisiana, who within the final election cycle right here woefully capitulated, primarily handing management of the state to the arduous proper.

Sadi Summerlin, an abortion-rights organiser, is working for the Democratic occasion in Louisiana. {Photograph}: Tom Silverstone/The Guardian

And but, just some miles from the nation membership, indicators of a refreshing resistance are starting to take form. I meet Sadi Summerlin, an abortion-rights organiser who has determined to run for Congress right here in opposition to an incumbent extremist and climate-science denier named Clay Higgins. Higgins steered just lately that the top of Joe Biden’s Environmental Safety Company ought to be arrested and despatched to jail for looking for to control poisonous emissions within the state.

It’s clearly an uphill battle, however Summerlin is eager to buck the concept that progressive politics can’t be promoted in communities that vote overwhelmingly conservative. We canvass the streets within the lower-income neighbourhoods of Lake Charles within the sweltering humidity, members of Summerlin’s household doubling as her marketing campaign workers. She listens intently as residents discuss their struggles to bounce again after the storms.

“We’ve not been current,” she acknowledges. “We’ve not been talking out. We’ve been permitting the Republican occasion to determine what we should always say and what we should always not.”

Her marketing campaign, she says, is about beginning conversations, not essentially profitable. Her honesty is refreshing. The conversations can’t begin quickly sufficient.

Oliver Laughland is the Guardian’s US southern bureau chief


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