Republicans are wanting more likely to “flip” a US Senate seat in Montana, in accordance with a brand new ballot by the New York Occasions, which might give them management of that chamber of Congress if all the opposite races go as anticipated.
Whereas most eyes have been on the presidential race between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris, all the Home of Representatives can be up for re-election, together with 33 seats within the Senate. Democrats presently have 51 seats within the 100-member chamber.
“The maths for Senate management is fairly easy. For Democrats, it isn’t including up,” the Occasions reported on Thursday, citing the most recent ballot co-authored with Siena School that confirmed Jon Tester, the incumbent Democrat in Montana, trailing seven share factors behind his Republican challenger Tim Sheehy.
Sheehy is a former Navy SEAL and a businessman, who simply bought concerned in politics. The Occasions/Siena ballot had him at 52% to Tester’s 44%. In the meantime, Trump has a 17-point lead over Harris in Montana.
Till this week, polls confirmed Democrats comfortably forward in each contested Senate race.
Republicans had been already anticipated to choose up a seat in West Virginia, the place long-time Democrat Joe Manchin first left the celebration, then introduced he wouldn’t search re-election. Ought to all different races go because the polling predicts, the Republicans would find yourself with 51 seats to the Democrats’ 49.
The “solely hope” for the Democrats is to by some means find yourself with a tie and for Harris to win the presidency, which might give her working mate Tim Walz the tie-breaking vote. This was the case for the primary two years of Joe Biden’s presidency, when Harris was the tie-breaker, till the Democrats flipped Pennsylvania in 2022.
In line with the Occasions, nevertheless, this might require the Democrats to defeat an incumbent Republican someplace. Polls counsel that Texas Senator Ted Cruz and Florida Senator Rick Scott could be the simplest races, but Cruz is up by 4 factors and Scott by 9.
One potential venue is Nebraska, the place Democrats aren’t working anybody however seem like backing an impartial candidate, Dan Osborn. The newest polls are exhibiting Osborn neck and neck with the Republican incumbent Deb Fischer.
Republicans presently maintain 220 seats within the 435-member Home of Representatives, leaving Democrats with 212 and three seats vacant. Election day is November 5, though early voting by mail has already began in some states.
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