Harris marketing campaign reportedly fears ‘blue wall’ may crumble; Eminem to introduce Obama at rally – US politics dwell

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Harris marketing campaign reportedly fears ‘blue wall’ may crumble; Eminem to introduce Obama at rally – US politics dwell

Harris marketing campaign reportedly bracing for tight election, fears ‘blue wall’ may crumble

Kamala Harris’s marketing campaign expects Donald Trump to place up a powerful efficiency within the 5 November presidential election that might break aside the “blue wall” swing states for the primary time in a long time, based on two studies printed this morning.

Whereas neither story means that the vice-president’s marketing campaign doesn’t suppose it has a path to victory, the studies underscore the efficiency of Trump’s bid for workplace and the truth that the race stays basically tied regardless of weeks of vigorous campaigning and fundraising by Harris and her surrogates.

Citing folks with data of Harris’s marketing campaign technique, NBC Information studies that they’re involved that the blue wall of Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania may, for the primary time since 1988, not vote as a bloc in November, imperiling the vice-president’s path to the Oval Workplace.

The marketing campaign can be involved that Hurricane Helene’s ravages in North Carolina and the struggles of the controversial Republican candidates for governor are undermining Harris’s possibilities of successful that state. Right here’s extra:

Current discussions have centered on the opportunity of an anomaly occurring this yr with simply a part of the blue wall breaking its method. The conversations have targeted on whether or not Michigan or Wisconsin “fall” to former president Donald Trump whereas the 2 different states go blue, based on three sources with data of the marketing campaign’s technique.

Shedding Wisconsin or Michigan would imply that even when Harris secures Pennsylvania – the place each Harris and Trump have spent probably the most time and sources – she wouldn’t attain the mandatory 270 electoral votes to win the White Home with out successful one other battleground state or probably two.

“There was a thought that possibly Michigan or Wisconsin will fall off,” mentioned a senior Harris marketing campaign official, who pressured that the larger concern is over Michigan. Two different folks with data of marketing campaign technique – who, like others on this article, have been granted anonymity to talk candidly – additionally underscored deep concern about Michigan. These folks nonetheless consider that each one the states are shut and that there are different routes to victory.

A Harris marketing campaign spokesperson pushed again in opposition to the notion about deep issues over Michigan, pointing to latest public polling. A Detroit Information ballot carried out 1-4 October discovered Harris, who was campaigning in Michigan on Monday, holding a slight lead within the state, as did a Washington Put up ballot on Monday.

Whereas North Carolina continues to be within the marketing campaign’s sights and Democrats preserve robust group and management there, the Harris staff is way much less bullish about victory, 4 folks with data of the dynamics mentioned.

“Of all the seven [states], that one appears to be a little bit bit slipping away,” the Harris marketing campaign official mentioned of North Carolina.

CNN, in the meantime, heard from high Harris adviser David Plouffe, who acknowledged that the race might very nicely stay tight proper right down to election day:

Traditionally, it might be uncommon to have seven states come down to some extent or much less,” David Plouffe, Barack Obama’s 2008 marketing campaign supervisor who now serves as a senior adviser to Harris, mentioned of the battleground panorama. “However I believe at this level, it’s important to assume that’s a definite risk.”

Plouffe and different Harris advisers don’t consider Trump’s largely outsourced door-knocking and different on-the-ground outreach operations can match what the nationwide Democrats and the Harris marketing campaign – which inherited among the identical staff from President Joe Biden – spent a yr placing collectively. However they consider this benefit can solely take them thus far.

“Democrats want Donald Trump wouldn’t get greater than 46% of the vote,” Plouffe mentioned, referring to the nationwide common vote proportion the previous president secured in his earlier campaigns. However within the battleground states, “that’s not actuality. He’s going to rise up to 48% in all of those states. And so we simply have to ensure we’re hitting our win quantity, which relying on the state, might be 50, might be 49.5.”

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Key occasions

The day thus far

Election day is strictly two weeks away. Gulp. Whereas there’s no telling who’s going to win, NBC Information and CNN reported this morning that Kamala Harris’s marketing campaign is bracing for a really shut election that might doubtlessly see the “blue wall” swing states not vote as a bloc for the primary time in a long time. They’re deploying a wide range of surrogates on the marketing campaign path to make the case for the vice-president within the remaining two weeks, with Eminem reportedly set to introduce Barack Obama when he seems in Detroit tonight, and Bruce Springsteen to headline two concert events as a part of a collection that can hit each swing state. Obama will even marketing campaign with Tim Walz in Wisconsin later immediately, JD Vance will maintain two occasions in Arizona, Donald Trump will marketing campaign in North Carolina, and Walz will maintain a second occasion within the Badger state earlier than the night is thru.

Right here’s what else has occurred immediately thus far:

  • Trump held a spherical desk with Latino leaders however took his time in attending to problems with significance to the voting bloc.

  • Harris will marketing campaign in Houston on Friday, with a watch in the direction of choosing up Texas’s Senate seat and highlighting how abortion bans have affected girls within the Republican bastion.

  • The US economic system is poised for stronger progress than many rich nations, the IMF mentioned in forecasts launched immediately.

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Bruce Springsteen to look with Harris, Obama as marketing campaign launches battleground state live performance collection

Kamala Harris’s marketing campaign will maintain concert events within the seven swing states, with legendary performer Bruce Springsteen to look alongside the vice-president and Barack Obama on Thursday in Georgia, a senior marketing campaign official mentioned.

The Atlanta live performance is the primary of what the marketing campaign is looking the When We Vote We Win collection, and is aimed toward whipping up voter enthusiasm forward of 5 November. It should proceed on Monday of subsequent week in Philadelphia, when Springsteen and Obama will seem collectively, and concert events within the 5 different swing states can be introduced quickly, the official mentioned.

Springsteen has backed Democrats earlier than, and endorsed Harris earlier this month:

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Richard Luscombe

Donald Trump’s spherical desk with Latino leaders in Doral, Miami, has simply concluded. The viewers livened a little bit as the previous president turned his consideration, briefly, to immigration.

He repeated baseless and often-aired claims that overseas nations, particularly Venezuela, have been opening their prisons to ship “violent gang members” and drug sellers into the US with army weapons. He known as Kamala Harris “a silly particular person” as he falsely labeled her Joe Biden’s “border tsar”.

His remarks segued rapidly into an assault on Democrats for allegedly permitting transgender males to play girls’s sports activities and a considerably fanciful story of a “a person who transitioned into, congratulations, a girl” smashing a baseball so exhausting it hit a feminine participant on the top and “these younger girls mentioned they’d by no means seen something prefer it”.

Maybe sensing issues have been going off subject, occasion host Jennifer Korn, a former White Home aide and government director of the Hispanic Management Community, tried to interrupt with a “Mr President … ”

“I’ll depart it at that,” Trump mentioned. “Does anybody else have something to say?”

Robert Unanue, the president of Goya Meals, the most important Hispanic-owned meals firm within the US, took the microphone for a prolonged speech praising Trump, then the occasion wound down with a prayer session.

Honduran televangelist Guillermo Maltonado, founding father of Miami megachurch the King Jesus Worldwide Ministry, mentioned Trump could be re-elected as a result of “there’s a better task for him to complete with this nation”:

God units up kings. We’re praying for the need of God to make [Trump] the forty seventh president.

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Eminem to introduce Obama at Detroit rally tonight – report

Detroit’s personal Eminem will introduce Barack Obama throughout his rally in assist of Kamala Harris this night in Michigan’s largest metropolis, and certain weigh in on the presidential election, CNN studies.

It’s a uncommon public look by the rapper who has been synonymous with the Motor Metropolis all through his profession, and who has sometimes condemned Harris’s opponent, Donald Trump.

The vice-president will not be scheduled to attend the occasion, which begins at 7.45pm and is one among two appearances Obama is making for her marketing campaign immediately. The previous president can be rallying with Tim Walz in Madison, Wisconsin, at 2.30pm.

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Richard Luscombe

Donald Trump hasn’t but turned his consideration to points affecting Latino voters at his spherical desk in Miami.

As an alternative he’s on a tear in regards to the Biden administration’s insurance policies that encourage using electrical autos:

They need to go to all-electric vehicles. A charging station is the equal of a gasoline pump … They spent $8b for 9 charging stations. It’s so uncontrolled. They don’t need to change.

He was referring to a slow-moving $7.5bn federal program that by Could had yielded a small variety of charging stations, however has ramped since with greater than 1,000 new installations nationwide every week, based on authorities figures.

Trump is promising that if he’s re-elected US companies would proceed to profit from tax cuts he enacted in his first time period:

We gave you the largest lower in taxes within the historical past of the nation. We now have an incredible basis to construct on a whole lot of corporations coming in very quick.

At one level Trump confused Kamala Harris, the vice-president and his Democratic opponent, with Hillary Clinton, whom he beat in 2016, calling the nonexistent Biden-Clinton administration “the worst ever”.

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Richard Luscombe

Donald Trump is telling a roundtable of Latino leaders at his golf resort in Doral, Florida, that he expects Hispanic voters to assist sweep him to victory on 5 November.

He claimed falsely that “all of the polls” present him forward amongst Hispanic voters in swing states, regardless of surveys displaying precisely the other.

He kicked off the occasion by addressing the devastation brought on by Hurricane Helene in North Carolina, the place he was campaigning yesterday. It was a “horrible occasion” he mentioned, repeating debunked claims in regards to the federal authorities’s emergency response.

“Fema responded not nicely, the White Home has completed a poor job. They need to be ashamed of themselves,” he mentioned.

Quite a few politicians, together with some distinguished Republicans, have praised the velocity at which federal sources and assist reached the hardest-hit areas.

Trump has but to start out answering questions, as a substitute delivering a prolonged monologue with acquainted assaults on Kamala Harris, Joe Biden and Hillary Clinton, whom he beat in 2016.

It’s the second time in per week that the previous president has addressed Latino voters in Miami.

In a city corridor hosted by Univision, the most important US Spanish-language community, on Thursday, Trump principally dodged awkward questions on immigration, and repeated debunked claims that Haitians in Springfield, Ohio, have been consuming pets and “different issues too that they’re not speculated to”.

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In the meantime, senator Ted Cruz’s marketing campaign has hit out at Kamala Harris after it was introduced she would go to Texas and seem alongside his opponent Colin Allred on Friday.

“Colin Allred is Kamala Harris. They’ve spent the final 4 years working hand-in-hand in opposition to Texans and the American folks with their radical insurance policies, whether or not these be pushing to permit boys in women’ sports activities, permitting harmful unlawful aliens to return into our nation or making an attempt to destroy the oil and gasoline trade in Texas,” a Cruz marketing campaign spokesperson mentioned in an announcement.

“Colin and Kamala share an agenda, and now they’ll share a stage for all Texans to see.”

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Trump to fulfill with Latino leaders in Florida

The primary marketing campaign occasion of the day is Donald Trump’s spherical desk with Latino leaders, which is scheduled to start now at his golf resort in Doral, Florida.

Latinos are a voting bloc whose assist is predicted to be essential to deciding the election, each in swing states and in states and congressional districts that can decide which occasion controls the Senate and Home of Representatives.

Forward of the occasion, Miami’s Trump-supporting Republican mayor, Francis Suarez, instructed CNN in an interview that he doesn’t consider the previous president’s vows to hold out mass deportations and impose draconian insurance policies in opposition to undocumented migrants will damage his assist with Hispanic voters:

Legislation-abiding Hispanics care extra about having a affluent future for themselves and their kids than they do about people who find themselves on this nation illegally. And so I believe there’s a misperception that each one they care about is, , immigration. And I believe … that’s, frankly, considerably racist.

You already know, I believe Hispanics care extra about ensuring that they’ve a chance to succeed, ensuring that inflation doesn’t crush them each single day because it’s completed below this administration. And so they’re law-abiding folks, like my mother and father are, who got here to this nation at 12 and 7 from – from Cuba, which is a communist nation and has – and has solely produced distress and poverty for its folks. And so they see a whole lot of the identical rhetoric being, sadly, espoused by the Democratic occasion and that’s one thing that issues them.

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Harris marketing campaign reportedly bracing for tight election, fears ‘blue wall’ may crumble

Kamala Harris’s marketing campaign expects Donald Trump to place up a powerful efficiency within the 5 November presidential election that might break aside the “blue wall” swing states for the primary time in a long time, based on two studies printed this morning.

Whereas neither story means that the vice-president’s marketing campaign doesn’t suppose it has a path to victory, the studies underscore the efficiency of Trump’s bid for workplace and the truth that the race stays basically tied regardless of weeks of vigorous campaigning and fundraising by Harris and her surrogates.

Citing folks with data of Harris’s marketing campaign technique, NBC Information studies that they’re involved that the blue wall of Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania may, for the primary time since 1988, not vote as a bloc in November, imperiling the vice-president’s path to the Oval Workplace.

The marketing campaign can be involved that Hurricane Helene’s ravages in North Carolina and the struggles of the controversial Republican candidates for governor are undermining Harris’s possibilities of successful that state. Right here’s extra:

Current discussions have centered on the opportunity of an anomaly occurring this yr with simply a part of the blue wall breaking its method. The conversations have targeted on whether or not Michigan or Wisconsin “fall” to former president Donald Trump whereas the 2 different states go blue, based on three sources with data of the marketing campaign’s technique.

Shedding Wisconsin or Michigan would imply that even when Harris secures Pennsylvania – the place each Harris and Trump have spent probably the most time and sources – she wouldn’t attain the mandatory 270 electoral votes to win the White Home with out successful one other battleground state or probably two.

“There was a thought that possibly Michigan or Wisconsin will fall off,” mentioned a senior Harris marketing campaign official, who pressured that the larger concern is over Michigan. Two different folks with data of marketing campaign technique – who, like others on this article, have been granted anonymity to talk candidly – additionally underscored deep concern about Michigan. These folks nonetheless consider that each one the states are shut and that there are different routes to victory.

A Harris marketing campaign spokesperson pushed again in opposition to the notion about deep issues over Michigan, pointing to latest public polling. A Detroit Information ballot carried out 1-4 October discovered Harris, who was campaigning in Michigan on Monday, holding a slight lead within the state, as did a Washington Put up ballot on Monday.

Whereas North Carolina continues to be within the marketing campaign’s sights and Democrats preserve robust group and management there, the Harris staff is way much less bullish about victory, 4 folks with data of the dynamics mentioned.

“Of all the seven [states], that one appears to be a little bit bit slipping away,” the Harris marketing campaign official mentioned of North Carolina.

CNN, in the meantime, heard from high Harris adviser David Plouffe, who acknowledged that the race might very nicely stay tight proper right down to election day:

Traditionally, it might be uncommon to have seven states come down to some extent or much less,” David Plouffe, Barack Obama’s 2008 marketing campaign supervisor who now serves as a senior adviser to Harris, mentioned of the battleground panorama. “However I believe at this level, it’s important to assume that’s a definite risk.”

Plouffe and different Harris advisers don’t consider Trump’s largely outsourced door-knocking and different on-the-ground outreach operations can match what the nationwide Democrats and the Harris marketing campaign – which inherited among the identical staff from President Joe Biden – spent a yr placing collectively. However they consider this benefit can solely take them thus far.

“Democrats want Donald Trump wouldn’t get greater than 46% of the vote,” Plouffe mentioned, referring to the nationwide common vote proportion the previous president secured in his earlier campaigns. However within the battleground states, “that’s not actuality. He’s going to rise up to 48% in all of those states. And so we simply have to ensure we’re hitting our win quantity, which relying on the state, might be 50, might be 49.5.”

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The Harris marketing campaign simply introduced that the vice-president will marketing campaign in Philadelphia on Sunday.

The announcement was gentle on particulars, however for sure it’s troublesome for Harris to win the White Home with out carrying Pennsylvania, and plenty of Democratic voters dwell in and round Philadelphia.

Harris to marketing campaign in Texas with eye in the direction of pulling off Senate shock

Lauren Gambino

Kamala Harris will return to Texas within the remaining days of the presidential marketing campaign for an occasion that can spotlight the tales of ladies harmed by the state’s strict abortion ban.

In Houston on Friday, she’s going to seem alongside the Democratic nominee for Senate, Colin Allred, who’s locked in an unexpectedly tight race with the Republican incumbent, Ted Cruz.

Democrats have turned their consideration to the Texas Senate race, regardless of an extended historical past of falling quick within the Republican-dominated state. With Democrats poised to lose a seat in West Virginia and Montana showing to slide away, their finest alternative to maintain management of the Senate might run by way of the Lone Star state.

In response to a senior marketing campaign official, Harris will journey to Texas from Georgia, two states with probably the most restrictive abortion legal guidelines within the nation. The Democrat has repeatedly assailed Donald Trump for appointing the three supreme courtroom justices who voted to overturn Roe v Wade and paved the way in which for a wave of latest restrictions and near-total bans in Republican-led states.

Harris has made abortion rights the centerpiece of her quick marketing campaign for the White Home. At marketing campaign stops, and the occasion’s conference, she has shared the tales of ladies and households affected by abortion bans, amongst them Texas resident Amanda Zurawski, who almost died after being denied an abortion below the state’s regulation.

Zurawski, together with the household of Amber Thurman, a Georgia lady who died after her medical care was delayed below the state’s abortion regulation, have grow to be highly effective surrogates for Harris’s marketing campaign.

Abortion has been a central situation within the Texas Senate race. Allred has made Cruz’s staunch anti-abortion views a central plank of his marketing campaign. Polls present Cruz with a gradual lead, although the race has appeared to tighten in latest weeks.

Whereas in Houston, Harris will even sit for an interview with educational turned Ted talks host and common podcaster Brené Brown.

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Regardless of marketing campaign rhetoric, IMF projections present US economic system higher than most

On the marketing campaign path, you’ll hear Donald Trump assail the state of the economic system and say Kamala Harris is responsible. And also you’ll hear Harris vow to decrease costs for all the pieces from housing to healthcare.

There is no such thing as a doubt that People have suffered from the wave of inflation that racked the nation over the previous three years, however has lately subsided. What’s much less mentioned is that the US economic system is, the truth is, far more healthy than many others.

Simply-released forecasts from the IMF, the Washington-based disaster lender whose financial information is intently watched from Wall Avenue to the White Home, reveals that the US economic system is poised for among the strongest progress amongst rich nations within the years to return, beating out the UK, Japan and plenty of European nations:

IMF Progress Forecast: 2024

🇺🇸US: 2.8%
🇩🇪Germany: 0.0%
🇫🇷France: 1.1%
🇮🇹Italy: 0.7%
🇪🇸Spain: 2.9%
🇬🇧UK: 1.1%
🇯🇵Japan: 0.3%
🇨🇦Canada: 1.3%
🇨🇳China: 4.8%
🇮🇳India: 7.0%
🇷🇺Russia: 3.6%
🇧🇷Brazil: 3.0%
🇲🇽 Mexico: 1.5%
🇸🇦KSA: 1.5%
🇳🇬Nigeria: 2.9%
🇿🇦RSA: 1.1%https://t.co/sDv9tK6YQb pic.twitter.com/epCi3VT13o

— IMF (@IMFNews) October 22, 2024

These are, after all, simply projections, and because the Guardian’s Larry Elliott studies, numerous issues may undercut them – together with among the insurance policies Trump is campaigning on:

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The Guardian’s Lauren Gambino earlier this month took the political pulse of younger voters nationwide, significantly when it got here to the query of which presidential candidate to assist. Right here’s what she discovered:

It was the peak of “brat summer time”. Kamala Harris was a “femininomenon”, electrifying a high-stakes presidential race that lots of the nation’s youngest voters had been dreading: a rematch between the 2 oldest candidates in American historical past.

Chartreuse-blocked memes and coconut emojis stuffed social media feeds. The tidal wave of younger “Kamalove” sparked a rush of small-dollar donations and volunteer sign-ups for her days-old marketing campaign. For a particularly on-line era of younger Democrats, the vibes have been so good.

On the bottom in St Louis, a cadre of younger progressives have been gathering for a wholly completely different election – one with nearly no bearing on the stability of energy in Washington, however one they believed mattered deeply. There in Missouri’s first congressional district, consultant Cori Bush was combating for her political survival.

Lots of the twentysomethings had traveled from out of state, sacrificing summer time jobs and sleeping on yoga mats to marketing campaign for Bush within the sticky August warmth. “We simply stopped our lives and went to St Louis,” mentioned John Paul Mejia, a 22-year-old scholar and local weather activist.

Mejia was there as a part of Defend Our Energy (Pop), a youth coalition that got here collectively earlier this yr for what he described as a “David-and-Goliath” mission to defend leftwing members of Congress in opposition to a well-funded effort to unseat them.

To them, Bush, the nurse turned racial justice activist, was one of many few elected leaders who shared their sense of urgency about all the pieces from the nation’s affordability disaster to safeguarding abortion entry.

As a newly elected member of Congress, Bush had slept on the steps of the US Capitol to protest in opposition to the expiration of a federal eviction moratorium. The motion paid off: the Biden administration prolonged the pause. In warning in regards to the risk to reproductive rights, Bush testified earlier than a Home panel that she had had an abortion at 18 after changing into pregnant by rape. In 2023, she emerged as one of many strongest critics of Israel’s battle in Gaza, a stance that mirrored a groundswell of youth dissent however in the end imperiled her congressional profession.

“There’s just about no person else, even members of Congress who’re nearer to our age, in some cases, who truly signify what our era cares about,” Vincent Vertuccio, a 21-year-old school scholar and an activist with Pop, mentioned of the progressive Squad members. “If we lose these folks, even one or two, it’s a direct diminishment of our energy.”




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