Opening abstract
Whats up and welcome to our dwell protection of the German election outcomes.
CDU chief Friedrich Merz has mentioned his “absolute precedence” shall be to strengthen Europe in order to realize independence from the US in defence issues as he prepares to embark on coalition negotiations which might be anticipated to final till Easter.
Talking on Sunday night Merz mentioned US President Donald Trump had made it “clear that [his] authorities is pretty detached to Europe’s destiny” and that Germany must wait to see “whether or not we’ll nonetheless be capable to discuss Nato in its present type” when the alliance meets for its subsequent summit in June.
“For me, absolutely the precedence shall be to strengthen Europe as rapidly as doable in order that, step-by-step, we will actually obtain independence from the USA” in defence issues, Merz mentioned.
His centre-right CDU/CSU alliance got here prime of the German election, successful 28.5% of the vote, whereas outgoing Chancellor Olaf Scholz’s Social Democrats (SPD) crashed to its worst end result for the reason that second world conflict, gaining simply 16.4% of the vote. The 2 would have simply sufficient seats to type a so-called grand coalition and that is thought-about the most certainly possibility for Merz.
The far-right Different für Deutschland (AfD) social gathering was in the meantime celebrating its greatest end result ever, having secured second place on 20.8%. The social gathering’s chancellor candidate and co-leader, Alice Weidel, referred to as it a “historic success for us – our greatest end result ever.”
“We lengthen our hand to supply cooperation with the CDU. In any other case change received’t be doable in Germany,” she added. All mainstream events have dominated out a coalition with the AfD nonetheless, because of the nation’s firewall, or taboo, barring cooperation with the far-right.
Right here’s a roundup of the newest developments:
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The Greens, the SPD’s coalition associate, slumped by three proportion factors to 11.6%. The Left has surged to eight.8% and the liberal FDP – which triggered the early election by collapsing Olaf Scholz’s coalition – together with the far-left Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance failed to fulfill the 5% threshold required prime get into parliament.
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The outcomes imply Merz may type a so-called “grand coalition” with the SPD, without having to discover a third social gathering. That might imply a future authorities could be extra secure and fewer fractious than for instance Scholz’s.
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The Social Democratic social gathering was left reeling on the again of a traditionally low vote share, with outgoing chancellor, Olaf Scholz, admitting it was a “bitter end result”. He mentioned he wouldn’t be concerned in any coalition talks with the CDU/CSU, with different SPD leaders anticipated to steer negotiations.
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Merz hailed “a historic election night,” and acknowledged the duty and the size of the duty forward. He mentioned he deliberate to type a coalition by Easter and instructed social gathering trustworthy that “the world out there’s not ready for us and for prolonged negotiations.”
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Alice Weidel, co-leader of the far-right Different für Deutschland (AfD) referred to as the end result “historic” for her social gathering, having doubled the variety of votes from 2021. Weidel mentioned her social gathering remained open to coalition talks with different events, and mentioned excluding the AfD was the equal to “voter fraud”.
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The AfD swept all 5 former East German states: Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, Brandenburg, Saxony-Anhalt, Saxony and Thuringia. It received effectively over 30% of the vote in every state and as a lot as 38.6% in Thuringia – that’s the place the AfD made historical past in September as the primary far-right social gathering to win a state election for the reason that second world conflict.
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Christian Lindner, the chief of the liberal FDP whose falling out with Scholz triggered the collapse of his coalition authorities and paved the best way for early elections, resigned after his social gathering failed to succeed in the 5% threshold to re-enter parliament. In a put up on X, he mentioned would retire from energetic politics and mentioned he hoped the election would convey a “new begin for Germany”.
Key occasions
EU hopes to see new German authorities type ‘as quick as doable,’ EU overseas coverage chief says
EU overseas coverage chief Kaja Kallas is in Brussels this morning the place EU overseas ministers meet to debate the Russian conflict in opposition to Ukraine on the third anniversary of the full-scale invasion, the state of affairs within the Center East, and within the Democratic Republic of the Congo.
Kallas was additionally requested in regards to the German election, and here’s what she mentioned:
I anticipate shut cooperation with the brand new German authorities. So German folks have made their selection.
Now they should put collectively the federal government, and I hope that they do it as quick as doable, as a result of we actually need to maneuver on with the selections, additionally on the European stage that requires German participation.
Morning opening: Viel Glück, Herr Merz!
Jakub Krupa
Guten Morgen aus Berlin,
In November 2019, Freidrich Merz joined a convention of German college students at Harvard.
Freshly returned to politics after a decade in enterprise, however not even a CDU/CSU chief on the time but as he misplaced the bid to succeed Angela Merkel to Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer, he spoke at size about his affinity with the US, which he had been “travelling to for 40 years now,” with “greater than 150 visits.”
Lengthy seen as one of the crucial pro-American politicians in Germany, the previous govt of US funding firm BlackRock admitted that beneath the primary Trump presidency, Europe had “some sturdy debates with this US authorities and this US president” particularly.
However he urged the scholars to “struggle for our open society and what Europe and America have in frequent … to struggle for freedom, … for open speech, of faith, of the press, of our societies solely.”
On the finish of the speech, he promised, as folks casually do at these kind of conferences, that he could be again to Harvard ten years later to present an replace on how issues are going.
Properly, we aren’t fairly in 2029 simply but, however talking on dwell TV after main the CDU/CSU union to an election win final night time, he struck a noticeably completely different tone.
He spoke about his conversations with European leaders to “strengthen Europe as rapidly as doable, in order that we obtain independence from the US, step-by-step.”
“I by no means thought that I might ever have to say one thing like that, on tv, however after the newest statements made by Donald Trump final week, it’s clear, that the People – at any case these People, this administration – largely don’t care in regards to the destiny of Europe a method or one other,” he added.
And if that was not sufficient to indicate the dramatic change in his tone, he additionally took purpose at shut Trump aide, billionaire Elon Musk, saying that his “interventions from Washington have been no much less drastic, dramatic, and finally no much less brazen, than the interventions that we have now seen from Moscow.”
Inform us what you actually assume, Friedrich.
Assuming he intends to maintain his phrase and return to Harvard in 2029 as promised, it’s now as much as him because the presumed German chancellor to outline and form what kind of message on Germany, Europe, and the way forward for our relationships with the US he shall be able to ship.
Viel Glück, Herr Merz! You might want it.
It’s Monday, 24 February 2025, and that is Europe dwell. It’s Jakub Krupa right here.
Good morning.
The CDU/CSU alliance is eager to start out coalition talks as quickly as doable, Jens Spahn, deputy chief of the parliamentary group, has instructed the broadcaster ARD. He mentioned:
From our viewpoint it might probably get going very, in a short time. We must always maintain the primary talks this week already, within the coming days.
Referring to the present world state of affairs and the conflict in Ukraine: “ We’d like German management in Europe”.
He additionally mentioned that the CDU/CSU have to be able to make compromises in its talks with the SPD, including that what could be decisive could be whether or not the 2 events had the frequent will to make Germany stronger, restore belief in democracy and to restrict immigration.
My impression is that there are various folks within the SPD who additionally see that we will and will do one thing collectively, after which we’ll discover compromises.
The German papers have given their verdicts on Sunday’s election. Bild, the nation’s largest circulation newspaper, declared “Merz does it!” in its headline, including amongst different issues “SPD so dangerous as by no means earlier than!”, “AfD virtually doubled”, “The Greens cry, the Left celebrates”.
The Tagesspiegel warns “Election victor Merz faces robust coalition talks”, and provides the sub headlines “SPD crashes, Greens lose”, “AfD turns into second strongest drive”.
The Süddeutsche Zeitung has used a quote from the victorious Friedrich Merz as its headline: “The world on the market isn’t ready for us” and reviews that the chancellor-in-waiting desires to type a coalition by Easter.
The Handelsblatt splashes on “Election winner Merz”, including “The Union (CDU/CSU) wins the elections. The AfD achieves a file end result. The SPD loses drastically – and the FDP fails to move the 5% hurdle.”
The Rheinische Submit leads with “Scholz voted out, Merz forward, AfD doubles [its vote]” and reported {that a} file turnout had left the CDU/CSU in pole place.
Extra congratulations are coming in as Europe begins waking up. António Costa, European Council president, mentioned in a put up on X:
I stay up for working intently with him to make Europe stronger, extra affluent and extra autonomous. These is likely to be difficult occasions. However I do know that, similar to up to now, the European Union will ship and are available out stronger.
In line with the broadcaster ZDF, that is how seats shall be allotted based on Germany’s somewhat difficult voting system, which was just lately reformed to cap the variety of MPs at 630, after their ranks ballooned lately:
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CDU/CSU: 208 seats
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AfD: 152 seats
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SPD: 120 seats
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The Greens: 85 seats
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The Left: 64 seats
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SSW: 1 seat
The outcomes imply Merz’s CDU/CSU alliance can type a “grand coalition” with the SPD and keep away from having to type an unwieldy three-way coalition of the type that Olaf Scholz headed, and which finally undid him.
Nevertheless there are vital coverage variations between the SPD and the CDU, not least on the economic system – German has been in recession for 2 years – and Ukraine. Germany is Kyiv’s second greatest provider of navy help after the US.
“These are tough beginning circumstances for a brand new German authorities, which is going through Herculean duties in home and overseas coverage,” mentioned Cornelia Woll of the Hertie Faculty Berlin, based on AFP.
“One may hope that Germany will nonetheless be capable to act rapidly, in order that it doesn’t simply have to observe how Trump and Putin form the longer term.”
What’s in Merz’s in tray?

Kate Connolly
Friedrich Merz, a former banker who has by no means been a authorities minister, seems virtually sure to be the subsequent chancellor of Germany after his conservative CDU/CSU alliance received essentially the most votes in Sunday’s essential federal election.
Throughout the marketing campaign his determination to win a vote in parliament by counting on far-right assist proved a historic and extremely controversial turning level, even when he has since insisted he would by no means break Germany’s “firewall” (“brandmauer”) by going into coalition authorities with the anti-immigration Different für Deutschland.
As testing because the home political – and financial – panorama is, nonetheless, a lot of Merz’s most urgent challenges might effectively come from outdoors Germany. The person who as soon as received plaudits by claiming he may simplify the lifetime of thousands and thousands of individuals by decreasing tax guidelines so they might match on the again of a beer coaster faces an altogether extra advanced actuality.
Merz, a eager aviator and married father of three, whose spouse prevented him from shopping for his personal non-public jet till his kids have been out of the home (he now reportedly owns two), will wish to make his mark early on. Right here’s a short take a look at his in-tray.
The file results of the far-right AfD was for a lot of an important results of the night time. The social gathering got here in second place on 20.8%, which, if Chancellor Olaf Scholz’s SPD joins the CDU in a “grand coalition”, will make it the most important opposition social gathering in parliament.
It’s a sobering end result for a rustic that has prided itself on its reminiscence tradition, a reference to the Holocaust and different horrors of the second world conflict, and its willpower by no means to let such issues occur once more.
Many have warned that if Friedrich Merz and his new authorities fail to become familiar with the numerous challenges, each home and overseas, going through the nation, then the AfD shall be ready within the wings on the subsequent election to probably turn out to be the most important social gathering.
Writing in Spiegel journal, Christoph Hickmann mentioned:
Chancellor Merz’s activity shall be to revive belief within the political centre and extra: within the system and within the superiority of liberal democracy over authoritarian approaches. No chancellor has confronted such an enormous problem since reunification.
The truth that a fifth of voters have chosen to place their assist behind a celebration that’s contemplating deporting Germans of migrant background – although they could not all agree explicitly with that coverage – is “not a wake-up name, not a so-called alarm, however a vote of distrust in opposition to the political centre”, he wrote.

Jennifer Rankin
Germany has lengthy been seen because the EU’s “indispensable nation” – the most important, richest and most consequential energy. However lately Berlin has extensively been thought to be lacking in motion within the EU, hobbled by internecine feuding in a coalition authorities that has precipitated flip-flops and delayed choices.
Olaf Scholz has a cool relationship with Emmanuel Macron, slowing down the fabled Franco-German motor that powers the EU. The Polish-German relationship has additionally been rocky, strained by disputes over European air defence and historic grievances.
Friedrich Merz, heading in the right direction to turn out to be Germany’s subsequent chancellor, has promised to revive German management in Europe.
“I believe Merz and his staff perceive the urgency of the worldwide state of affairs and that we want a functioning German authorities quickly,” mentioned Jana Puglierin, the pinnacle of the Berlin workplace on the European Council on Overseas Relations.
“The state of affairs is so pressing that we have to first agree on some basic rules to have the ability to communicate with a voice in Brussels … in fact, for the EU, the sooner the higher.”
The remainder of Europe is trying to the continent’s greatest economic system to ship extra navy help to Ukraine. Merz, who has beforehand warned Scholz in opposition to “an appeasement coverage” in the direction of Russia, has promised to ship Kyiv long-range Taurus cruise missiles lengthy denied.
He’s additionally prone to face calls for to ship German troops to Ukraine as a part of a deterrent or peacekeeping drive, a dialogue that Scholz described as “fully untimely”.
Learn on right here:
Overseas leaders have congratulated Friedrich Merz on his win. The UK’s prime minister Keir Starmer wrote in a put up on X:
I stay up for working with the brand new authorities to deepen our already sturdy relationship, improve our joint safety and ship progress for each our international locations.
Emmanuel Macron supplied his congratulations to Friedrich Merz and his “friendship” to Olaf Scholz, with whom he has had an at occasions fraught relationship. In a put up on X, the French president added:
We’re extra decided than ever to realize nice issues collectively for France and Germany and work in the direction of a powerful and sovereign Europe. On this time of uncertainty, we’re united to face the most important challenges of the world and our continent.
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy mentioned he regarded ahead to persevering with to work with Germany and mentioned pointedly that Europe wanted to have the ability to defend itself. He mentioned:
Europe should be capable to defend itself, develop its industries, and obtain the mandatory outcomes. Europe wants shared successes, and people success will convey even larger unity to Europe.”
US President Donald Trump didn’t immediately congratulate Merz however mentioned in an all caps put up on his Reality Social web site of the CDU win:
Very like the USA, the folks of Germany acquired uninterested in the no-common-sense agenda, particularly on vitality and immigration … This can be a nice day for Germany and for the USA of America beneath the management of a gentleman names Donald J Trump.
Opening abstract
Whats up and welcome to our dwell protection of the German election outcomes.
CDU chief Friedrich Merz has mentioned his “absolute precedence” shall be to strengthen Europe in order to realize independence from the US in defence issues as he prepares to embark on coalition negotiations which might be anticipated to final till Easter.
Talking on Sunday night Merz mentioned US President Donald Trump had made it “clear that [his] authorities is pretty detached to Europe’s destiny” and that Germany must wait to see “whether or not we’ll nonetheless be capable to discuss Nato in its present type” when the alliance meets for its subsequent summit in June.
“For me, absolutely the precedence shall be to strengthen Europe as rapidly as doable in order that, step-by-step, we will actually obtain independence from the USA” in defence issues, Merz mentioned.
His centre-right CDU/CSU alliance got here prime of the German election, successful 28.5% of the vote, whereas outgoing Chancellor Olaf Scholz’s Social Democrats (SPD) crashed to its worst end result for the reason that second world conflict, gaining simply 16.4% of the vote. The 2 would have simply sufficient seats to type a so-called grand coalition and that is thought-about the most certainly possibility for Merz.
The far-right Different für Deutschland (AfD) social gathering was in the meantime celebrating its greatest end result ever, having secured second place on 20.8%. The social gathering’s chancellor candidate and co-leader, Alice Weidel, referred to as it a “historic success for us – our greatest end result ever.”
“We lengthen our hand to supply cooperation with the CDU. In any other case change received’t be doable in Germany,” she added. All mainstream events have dominated out a coalition with the AfD nonetheless, because of the nation’s firewall, or taboo, barring cooperation with the far-right.
Right here’s a roundup of the newest developments:
-
The Greens, the SPD’s coalition associate, slumped by three proportion factors to 11.6%. The Left has surged to eight.8% and the liberal FDP – which triggered the early election by collapsing Olaf Scholz’s coalition – together with the far-left Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance failed to fulfill the 5% threshold required prime get into parliament.
-
The outcomes imply Merz may type a so-called “grand coalition” with the SPD, without having to discover a third social gathering. That might imply a future authorities could be extra secure and fewer fractious than for instance Scholz’s.
-
The Social Democratic social gathering was left reeling on the again of a traditionally low vote share, with outgoing chancellor, Olaf Scholz, admitting it was a “bitter end result”. He mentioned he wouldn’t be concerned in any coalition talks with the CDU/CSU, with different SPD leaders anticipated to steer negotiations.
-
Merz hailed “a historic election night,” and acknowledged the duty and the size of the duty forward. He mentioned he deliberate to type a coalition by Easter and instructed social gathering trustworthy that “the world out there’s not ready for us and for prolonged negotiations.”
-
Alice Weidel, co-leader of the far-right Different für Deutschland (AfD) referred to as the end result “historic” for her social gathering, having doubled the variety of votes from 2021. Weidel mentioned her social gathering remained open to coalition talks with different events, and mentioned excluding the AfD was the equal to “voter fraud”.
-
The AfD swept all 5 former East German states: Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, Brandenburg, Saxony-Anhalt, Saxony and Thuringia. It received effectively over 30% of the vote in every state and as a lot as 38.6% in Thuringia – that’s the place the AfD made historical past in September as the primary far-right social gathering to win a state election for the reason that second world conflict.
-
Christian Lindner, the chief of the liberal FDP whose falling out with Scholz triggered the collapse of his coalition authorities and paved the best way for early elections, resigned after his social gathering failed to succeed in the 5% threshold to re-enter parliament. In a put up on X, he mentioned would retire from energetic politics and mentioned he hoped the election would convey a “new begin for Germany”.