The Republican Jewish Coalition revealed a report on Thursday analyzing the place Jewish voters within the Nov. 5 election swung for President-elect Donald Trump that means his strongest beneficial properties have been amongst “those that reside essentially the most Jewish lives and reside in essentially the most Jewish communities.”
The evaluation from WPA Intelligence, a conservative political consultancy and analytics agency, checked out out there exit polling, metropolis and county information and precinct information. It concluded that there’s a rising political hole between “disengaged and secular folks of Jewish ancestry,” who largely voted for Vice President Kamala Harris, and “these actively engaged with the Jewish faith” who broke for Trump.
“ Jewish neighborhoods and cities, the tendencies are stark and unmistakable,” WPAI said. “As a result of Judaism is in some methods a communal faith and observant Judaism requires localized infrastructure, Jews who reside in Jewish areas are usually extra non secular and engaged. And in these neighborhoods, we see giant shifts in the direction of Trump.”
“The pattern is obvious from Trump’s near-unanimous assist amongst Chassidic and Yeshivish Jews; to his fast consolidation of the Fashionable Orthodox vote; to incremental beneficial properties even in additional liberal Jewish areas similar to Oak Park and Higher Manhattan,” the agency added. “So, too, is it numerous ethnically and geographically, occurring coast to coast and overrepresenting Persian and ex-Soviet Jewish communities.”
The RJC/WPAI report is the most recent set of information factors within the dispute between Republican and Democratic Jewish teams over whether or not Trump received over a big share of Jewish voters and the place he might need finished so.
That query may flip largely on who’s counted as Jewish, with pollsters reaching dramatically completely different conclusions relying on how Jewish voters are screened.
In line with a survey commissioned by J Avenue, Trump received solely 26% of the Jewish vote nationally and 23% of the Jewish vote within the swing state of Pennsylvania, a outcome that might make Jewish voters probably the most dependable demographics for Democrats in an election by which practically each different socioeconomic subgroup in the US swung in the direction of Trump.
However 24% of J Avenue’s respondents recognized as “not Jewish by faith,” weighting closely in favor of Harris voters.
A ballot by the Orthodox Union’s Educate Coalition that used a special methodology for figuring out Jewish voters discovered radically completely different leads to Pennsylvania, with Harris solely successful the state 48%-41%.
The RJC/WPAI evaluation concluded that a number of the most dramatic swings within the Jewish vote in the direction of Trump occurred in New York. It additionally recognized pink shifts in closely Jewish areas of New Jersey, Michigan and California.
“Although Jews nonetheless usually reside in blue areas, their neighborhoods and communities are more and more a serious share of the pink islands in blue seas,” MPAI said. “On this election, now we have seen how Jewish values vote, and more and more, they vote pink.”
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