Gender had promised to be one in all the largest tales of the 2024 election. With abortion one in all voters’ high points, Donald Trump’s well-documented historical past of misogyny and a feminine presidential candidate of shade on the poll, Democrats banked on girls exhibiting up in power to defeat him. However Trump’s beautiful victory in each the electoral school and the favored vote dashed these hopes – and scrambled the narrative round how gender, race and different markers of id knowledgeable People’ votes.
Primarily based on out there exit polling, which stays preliminary, listed below are 5 early takeaways on how gender formed the 2024 elections.
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1. Girls voted for the Democratic candidate, however by smaller margins
Girls did certainly present as much as help Kamala Harris, however in smaller numbers than her Democratic predecessors. Whereas Hillary Clinton received girls by 13 factors in 2016 and Joe Biden by 15 in 2020, Harris secured them by simply 10 factors, CNN discovered.
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2. White girls are nonetheless voting for the Republican candidate
Though girls as an entire have traditionally voted for Democrats, white girls haven’t. As a substitute, over the past 72 years, a plurality of white girls have voted for the Democratic candidate solely twice, in 1964 and 1996. On Tuesday, they as soon as once more went for Trump – simply as they did in 2016 and 2020. However Harris made inroads with the group; she misplaced them by solely 5 factors, based on CNN. (In 2020, they broke for Trump by 11.) Extra surprisingly, Trump’s lead amongst white males additionally shrank, from 23 factors in 2020 to twenty in 2024.
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3. Trump did higher with younger girls than he did in 2020
The Trump marketing campaign leaned into focusing on younger males, as the previous president publicly palled round with male YouTubers and podcasters, corresponding to Joe Rogan, who make little house for girls. This effort paid off: exit polling signifies that there was a canyon-wide 16-point gender hole between younger women and men, which is a rise from 2020. Whereas girls between the ages of 18 and 29 most popular Harris 58% to 40%, their male friends selected Trump 56% to 42%. Nevertheless, in comparison with his final run, Trump did higher with each younger males (41% of them voted for him 4 years in the past) and younger girls (33% in 2020).
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4. Harris suffered vital losses amongst each Latino ladies and men
Latino males, specifically, veered onerous to the precise. In 2016, Clinton received Latino males by 31 factors; by 2020, their help for Democrats had cooled considerably, as Biden received them by 23 factors. On Tuesday, Trump received this group handily, by 10 factors, based on exit polling carried out for the Washington Put up and different retailers. In the meantime, Harris received Latina girls by 24 factors, a victory that pales compared to Clinton’s 44-point lead in 2024.
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5. Black girls are essentially the most dependable Democratic voters
Lengthy the Democrats’ most stalwart supporters, Black girls are nonetheless the spine of the Democratic get together. Harris received them by 85 factors – an even bigger lead than some other gendered and racial group measured by CNN. Aside from the competition for president, Delaware and Maryland each elected Black girls, Lisa Blunt Rochester and Angela Alsobrooks, to the Senate — making the subsequent Senate the primary one the place two Black girls will concurrently serve collectively.
Learn extra of the Guardian’s 2024 US election protection
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