Dem Sen. Bob Casey’s lead over GOP challenger Dave McCormick sharply narrows in three Pennsylvania polls

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Dem Sen. Bob Casey’s lead over GOP challenger Dave McCormick sharply narrows in three Pennsylvania polls

BETHLEHEM, Pa. — Three new polls present Pennsylvania Democratic Sen. Bob Casey’s lead over GOP challenger Dave McCormick narrowing — with one discovering the candidates separated by simply 1 level.

A joint New York Occasions, Philadelphia Inquirer and Siena School ballot reveals Casey (48%) main McCormick (39%) by 9 factors amongst registered voters — with 13% nonetheless undecided.

McCormick improved upon his 14-point deficit (50% to 36%) from the identical ballot again in August, having gained 3 factors of assist whereas Casey’s went down 2 factors.


The race between Casey (left) and challenger McCormick is without doubt one of the nation’s most carefully watched this cycle. AP

The second ballot, from Lancaster’s Franklin & Marshall School, reveals the identical pattern: Casey’s lead is within the excessive single digits, however McCormick’s gaining floor.

The Democrat (48%) leads the Republic (40%) by 8 factors — down from his 12-point lead (48% to 36%) in August.

F&M notes extra respondents described Casey’s job efficiency as “poor” (27%) than at any time since no less than August 2007, in his first 12 months in workplace.

Nonetheless, that ballot reveals Casey sustaining a a lot larger net-favorability ranking (+2) than McCormick (-14) — maybe the results of a Democratic advert blitz blasting the challenger’s time as a hedge-fund government and difficult his deep ties to the Keystone State.

F&M finds a small variety of Trump-Casey voters (2% of these surveyed) however virtually no Harris-McCormick voters. Casey has traditionally overperformed amongst Pennsylvania’s extra conservative older voters who bear in mind his father’s time as a well-liked governor from 1987 to 1995.

Thursday’s third ballot, from The Washington Submit, finds Casey (47%) with only a 1-point benefit over McCormick (46%). The remaining 7% of respondents both again third-party candidates (3%) or are undecided (4%).


Dave McCormick, Republican Senate nominee, arriving to speak at a campaign rally for former President Donald Trump in Wilkes-Barre, Pennsylvania, 2024
One ballot finds Casey (47%) with only a 1-point benefit over McCormick (46%), seen right here at a Trump rally final month. AP

Each Casey and McCormick have barely favorable perceptions in that ballot — 41% favorable, 40% unfavorable for Casey and 37% favorable, 35% unfavorable for McCormick.

The Pennsylvania Senate race is anticipated to attract file advert spending down the stretch because the candidates put together to face off in debates subsequent month.

Casey and McCormick have agreed to 2 debates — Oct. 3 in Harrisburg and Oct. 15 in Philadelphia — whereas a Pittsburgh debate stays within the works.


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