Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump are successfully lifeless even the place it counts — the battleground states, in keeping with a brand new ballot.
Mirroring the polling group’s findings from a separate survey launched earlier this month, each presidential contenders scored 50% apiece within the battleground states, per a CBS Information/YouGov survey launched Sunday.
Harris, 59, got here away with the lead in a nationwide head-to-head matchup between the pair 51% to 48%, which marks an uptick from her prior 50% to 49% edge over him within the prior survey.
Strikingly, 36% of voters felt that they don’t know what Harris stands for, in comparison with 64% who do, whereas 14% had been not sure what Trump, 78, stands for, in comparison with 86% who do, per the ballot.
Republicans have needled Harris for not being extra forthcoming together with her coverage positions since being abruptly elevated to the highest of the Democratic ticket simply shy of a month in the past.
Final Friday, she laid out an financial agenda that includes a nationwide ban on what she described as “worth gauging” (some economists interpreted her marketing campaign’s proposal as worth management), a $25,000 tax credit score for first-time dwelling purchasers, a beefed up $6,000 baby tax credit score, and extra.
Whereas polling lifeless even with battleground state voters writ massive, the most CBS battleground state breakdown pegged Trump with a really slight higher hand over Harris within the tossup states.
In Pennsylvania, Trump scored 50% to Harris’ 50%, Michigan (48% to 49%), Wisconsin (49% to 49%), Nevada (48% to 50%), Georgia (50% to 48%), Arizona (50% to 49%), and North Carolina (50% to 48%).
The margin of error in every of these states was plus or minus 4 share factors.
Translated into the Electoral School map, if these numbers held, that might imply Trump would get roughly 262 electoral votes in comparison with Harris’ 247, with the remainder tossups. A contender wants 270 to win the presidency.
Within the RCP’s no-tossup Electoral School map, Trump eked out a win with 276 votes to 262, indicating that the race is a nail-biter.
Harris has persistently maintained that she is an “underdog” within the race, whilst polls have tightened significantly almost 4 weeks since she sailed to the highest of the ticket.
Each campaigns acknowledge that the presidential race goes to be shut.
The CBS Information/ YouGov survey additionally discovered a spike in Democrats who say they’re committing to voting — 87%, which is up from 81% on July 18. Amongst Republicans, 88% say they’ll undoubtedly vote, down from 90% on July 18, per the ballot.
Alongside gender traces, 45% of males favored Harris, in comparison with 54% who most popular Trump, whereas 56% of ladies wished Harris, in comparison with 44% who chosen Trump.
Different polls have pegged an analogous gender hole amongst voters.
High points for voters embrace the financial system (83%), inflation (76%), state of democracy (74%), crime (62%), gun coverage (58%), US-Mexico border (56%) and abortion (51%).
Trump holds a lead with voters who rank the financial system as a prime problem in addition to those that say they aren’t doing as effectively financially, in keeping with crosstabs inside the ballot.
For voters who referred to as the financial system a significant component of their determination, 56% went to Trump, in comparison with 43% for Harris.
The identical was true with inflation (61% for Trump, 38% for Harris) and the border (76% to 24%). Harris was forward on abortion (69% to Trump’s 30%) and on safeguarding democracy (57% to 42%).
The survey sampled 3,258 registered voters between Aug. 14 to 16 with a margin of error of plus or minus 2.1 share factors for the primary pattern of respondents.
Earlier this month, the Trump marketing campaign lashed out at a CBS Information ballot that equally confirmed the 2 candidates lifeless even at 50% apiece within the battleground states.
The marketing campaign alleged that the ballot had bumped up the inhabitants of self-identifying liberals within the pattern of registered voters by about 1.7 share factors relative to a pattern utilized in its prior ballot. Surveys are usually subjected to such variations.
“The Pretend Information Media proceed to assist dangerously liberal Kamala disguise her file of financial failure and soft-on-crime insurance policies,” senior marketing campaign advisor Brian Hughes chided on the time.
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