New polls present Donald Trump has an opportunity to flip three states Joe Biden gained narrowly in 2020.
If that state of affairs involves move, the Republican nominee may have 255 electoral votes, that means he’d have the ability to win the presidency by wresting yet one more swing state from Kamala Harris’ grasp.
In Pennsylvania, per a CBS-YouGov survey of 1,273 registered voters, Trump and Harris are knotted at 49% every, with the vp forward 50% to 46% with independents. (However 12% of independents not leaning Trump say they may vote for him nonetheless, whereas 4% of non-Harris indy voters say the identical.)
Voters say they’re locked into their selections: 95% of Harris supporters rule out altering their thoughts between now and Election Day, and 94% of these backing the previous president swear they gained’t dump Trump.
Points taking part in strongly into Trump’s favor embody the economic system, thought-about “main” for 81% of these polled, and inflation, a principal preoccupation for 74% of respondents.
Solely 35% of these polled say the economic system is at the least “pretty good” — 62% say it’s “pretty dangerous” or worse.
Amongst independents, the break up is much more pronounced: 31% constructive, 65% damaging.
A plurality of voters (46%) say Trump’s insurance policies would make them “higher off” financially, with 39% saying they’d be worse off. In distinction, Harris is the wrong way up: 26% say they’d be higher off beneath Kamalanomics, whereas 45% fear they’d be doing worse.
Whereas CBS sees a useless warmth in Pennsylvania, which Biden gained by 1.17 factors 4 years in the past, CNN’s newest polling predicts a hair-thin break up of two southwestern battlegrounds.
Within the race for 11 electoral votes in Arizona, its survey predicts Harris successful 48% to 47%, which is a seismic shift from the 49% to 44% lead Trump had final time it was within the discipline again in August — nevertheless it’s nonetheless a margin-of-error contest.
In Nevada, it’s the alternative. A earlier 1-point lead for Harris has flipped in CNN’s modeling to a single-digit benefit for The Donald, which might put a half-dozen electoral votes in his column if it holds.
In each states, simply 8% say they’re keen to alter their minds. However their motivations differ based mostly on who they’re supporting.
A relentless throughout each battlegrounds: Trump voters are balloting for his or her man, whereas many Harris backers are casting a protest vote. Whereas 82% of Trumpers in Nevada and 77% of these in Arizona say their vote is one expressly for Trump, solely 62% of Harris voters in Arizona and 57% of these in Nevada say the identical.
Again in 2020, Biden gained by greater than 3 factors in Nevada and 0.3 in Arizona. This time round, each look to be flippable into the GOP column.
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