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Covid prevalence in England ‘dropped by 60% from February to March’


he prevalence of coronavirus instances in England dropped by round 60% from February to March, with latest knowledge suggesting the decline is “levelling off”, researchers have mentioned.

Specialists discovered that the speed of an infection fell in all age teams and areas throughout these two months, with figures additionally indicating that the vaccine rollout might be “breaking the hyperlink” between infections, deaths and hospital admissions.

In keeping with the newest spherical of the Actual-Time Evaluation of Neighborhood Transmission (React-1) examine, one in 500 folks on common was nonetheless carrying the virus in March.

Researchers discovered there have been “massive falls” in prevalence of the virus within the South East and London from February to March, however there stay “persistent areas of upper prevalence” of the virus within the southern a part of Yorkshire, and elements of the East Midlands and the North West.

Thus far, greater than 1.5 million folks have offered swabs to the React-1 examine so consultants can assess an infection charges throughout the nation.

The tenth spherical of checks was carried out between March 11 and March 30, with 140,844 swabs collected, returning 227 optimistic outcomes.

That is in contrast with 689 optimistic outcomes out of 165,456 swabs from February 4 to February 23.

The researchers’ findings, on account of be launched as a pre-print, have been outlined in a briefing to journalists on Wednesday.

– The speed of an infection in the neighborhood was 0.20% in March – down from 0.49% in February and 1.57% in January.

– Whereas on common there had been an total decline in Covid prevalence over the entire of February and March, researchers noticed final month’s knowledge indicated this had flattened off.

– Utilizing March knowledge alone, the replica quantity (R) – the typical variety of folks an contaminated individual is prone to move the illness on to – was estimated to be 1.

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